2016 Oscars Predictions: Who Should Win & Who Will Win?

It’s the moment we’ve all been waiting for. After spending hundreds of dollars on movie tickets and concessions, we finally get to root for our favorite films at this year’s Academy Awards! Last year, I predicted that Boyhood would take home the coveted Best Director and Best Picture trophies, but a certain feathered friend proved me wrong. After training with an old man from Philly and sleeping in an animal carcass each night, I’m now ready to redeem myself with this year’s Oscar predictions. It’s been a great year for movies and I’m feeling lucky…

Actor in a Leading Role

Who should win: Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)

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It seems like people have completely forgotten about Steve Jobs. The reviews were decent, but the box office turnout was not. It’s a shame because Michael Fassbender delivers a powerful performance. You could debate on whether or not he captures the essence of the real life Apple CEO, but there’s no denying that this man knows how to deliver a damn good monologue. Aaron Sorkin’s witty writing definitely helps, but Fassbender really carries the film. In fact, he’s onscreen almost the entire time. This might not be his year, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see him accepting a golden statuette within the next few years.

Who will win: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)

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I know we all want Leo to finally win an Oscar, but does it have to be for this movie? I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but this is not his best performance. Sure, crawling around in the snow was super hard, but that’s not what we’re rewarding here. It’s about who had the best performance, not who had the worst time on set. I would rather see Leo rocking a Snuggie and some cozy slippers if it made for a good performance. I’ll be glad to see him win, but I wish it could have been for literally anything else.

Actress in a Leading Role

Who should win: Brie Larson (Room)

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Any of the other nominees in this category might have stood a chance if it weren’t for Brie Larson in Room. She plays a mother who was kidnapped as a teenager, desperately trying to plan an escape for her and her son. It’s a strong, sincere performance and her chemistry with Jacob Tremblay (who should really be nominated as well) is undeniable.

Who will win: Brie Larson (Room)

She’s already snatched up a Golden Globe, SAG Award and BAFTA. The Oscar already has her name on it.

Actor in a Supporting Role

Who should win: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Sylvester Stallone takes time to play with a neighborhood kid on set of the new Rocky movie "Creed" in Philadelphia, PA. Pictured: Sylvester Stallone Ref: SPL944599 060215 Picture by: Gilbert Carrasquillo/Splash News Splash News and Pictures Los Angeles: 310-821-2666 New York: 212-619-2666 London: 870-934-2666 photodesk@splashnews.com

Who could have seen this coming? The past few years of Sly Stallone’s career have included three Expendables flicks and a movie about Kevin James talking to animals, but now he’s the front runner for Oscar gold. What’s even crazier is that he really deserves it.

Who will win: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Mark Ruffalo is fantastic in Spotlight, but this just isn’t his year. Stallone has paid his dues and it looks like the Academy is finally going to give him some recognition. Prepare for a massive standing ovation.

Actress in a Supporting Role

Who should win: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Honestly, this might be the toughest category of the night. Jennifer Jason Leigh is crazed in The Hateful Eight and Rooney Mara does a fantastic job playing coy in Carol, but Alicia Vikander is a true scene stealer in The Danish Girl. That’s saying a lot, considering she’s acting opposite last year’s Best Actor winner. Eddie Redmayne plays Einar Wagner, one of the first people to go through male-to-female sex reassignment surgery in the 1920’s. There’s no denying how brave the real life Einar was, but it’s hard not to focus on Vikander, who plays her wife. It’s interesting to see this transition through the eyes of a spouse and Alicia Vikander’s portrayal is heartbreaking.

Who will win: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

I would be more than happy to see any of these ladies take home the Oscar, but it looks like Alicia Vikander is a shoo-in.

Directing

Who should win: Alejandro G. Iñárritu (The Revenant)

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I may not have been a fan of The Revenant, but I can still give credit where it’s due. Iñárritu deserves it for that opening fight sequence between the frontiersmen and the Native Americans. The decision to only film with available light also makes for some beautiful shots. It’s not as groundbreaking as last year’s Birdman, but there’s no doubt that Iñárritu is a visionary who’s willing to push the boundaries when it comes to movie making.

Who will win: George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)

I’ll probably catch a lot of shit for this one, but I wasn’t a fan of Fury Road either. It’s an over-glorified car chase, yet some people (including Oscar voters) can’t seem to get enough of it. Sure, the costuming is great and there are some badass sequences, but I have a hard time believing this movie deserves anything other than technical awards. Hey, maybe that’s just me.

Best Picture

Who should win: Room

No other film on this list made me feel quite like Room did. This is the only nominee that truly had me on the edge of my seat, nearly struggling to catch my breath. It’s also one of the only Best Picture nominees that I couldn’t stop thinking about for days after seeing it. It sounds cliche, but this is the reason we go to the movies.

Who will win: Spotlight

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If any movie has to beat Room, I’m glad it’s Spotlight. The idea of corruption in the Catholic church has almost become a sort of running joke in pop culture. The “creepy priest” is thought of as a novelty Halloween costume and we sometimes forget just how prevalent this issue was and still is. Spotlight isn’t always easy to watch, but it is necessary. It plays out almost like a mystery, with each bit of uncovered information more shocking than the last. It also helps that it stars one of the best ensemble casts in recent memory. What really drives it home though are the cities listed before the credits roll, showing all of the places where molestation cases involving Catholic priests have been reported. It’s the most powerful movie moment of the past year and it doesn’t feature a single actor.

Who do you think will take home Oscar gold this year? Leave a comment below and don’t forget to watch the 88th Academy Awards LIVE on Sunday, February 28th on ABC.

Wesley Boutilier

Part time writer, full time nerd.

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